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Recently on social media, I’ve noticed many people try to frame the 2024 presidential election as a landslide. Some people, including Donald Trump himself, also tried claiming a mandate on behalf of the American voters. This rhetoric may seem harmless at first, but painting a false picture of recent election…
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This is the first part of a two-part series ranking election models from worst (15th place) to best (1st place). There have been countless attempts made by news publications, political scientists, and pollsters to create reliable election forecasts. In the 2024 presidential election, many prediction sites made final estimates of…
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1/26/2025 A few days ago, I published the first version of the 2025 Virginia Gubernatorial Election Poll Tracker. If you’ve checked the site within the past 24 hours, you would’ve noticed that it wasn’t being updated and had a maintenance message. Today, I’ve finished the second version of the tracker…
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What Is Happening Here? In the 2008 presidential election, the only universally agreed upon swing between the five news organizations used in this sample was Ohio. News sites couldn’t agree on what states would determine the results of the election, with CNN even classifying North Dakota as a tossup (Obama…
