What Defines an Electoral Landslide?
Recently on social media, I've noticed many people try to frame the 2024 presidential election as a landslide. Some people, including Donald Trump himself, also tried claiming a mandate…
The Worst Election Prediction Models of 2024
This is the first part of a two-part series ranking election models from worst (15th place) to best (1st place). TDT Data Table used to calculate some of the…
Who Will Win the 2025 Elections?
https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/NX7AR/1/ 1/26/2025 A few days ago, I published the first version of the 2025 Virginia Gubernatorial Election Poll Tracker. If you've checked the site within the past 24 hours,…
How to Reclassify Swing States
What Is Happening Here? In the 2008 presidential election, the only universally agreed upon swing between the five news organizations used in this sample was Ohio. News sites couldn't…