A collection of some of our published graphs, tables, forecast overviews, and maps
Primary Model General EV Error
Lichtman Key Significance
Lichtman Key Significance Chances
Incumbency Primary Model Errors
EV Prediction Ranges of Forecasts
Swing States in the 2020 Election
How Long After Polls Closed Was Each State Called in the 2024 Election?
Race Calls Per State in the 2024 Election
Swing States Vs. Margin of Victory
2016 Swing States
2024 Swing States
2008 Swing States
PEM And Brier Data Table
Google Trends Prediction Model Trendline
Lichtman Hypothetical Odds
RCP State Categorizations
Polymarket Brier
Lichtman's Key Chances (Prior Elections)
RCP State PEM
Primary Model Incumbency Error Timeline
New York Times PEM
Polymarket Elon Musk Tweet Funds & Odds
CNalysis Brier
Final Virginia 2025 AG Projections
Average Daily Shift in Net Trump Approval (2025)
2025 Canadian Forecast Accuracy
Final Norway 2025 Parliamentary Projections
2025 Norwegian Forecast Accuracy
2025 Gubernatorial Model Comparison
Virginia & New Jersey County Accuracy (2025)
Two-Party Representation by Electoral System
Third Party Legislative Seat Share by Country
Legislative Electoral Systems in Democratic Countries
2026 Forecast Accuracy by Model
Jones Under-performance of Spanberger Relative to Statewide Under-performance
Electoral Landslides Over Time
% of VEP Needed to Alter Presidential Election Results
% of VEP Needed to Alter Presidential Election Results
ELI Score by Election
Effect of ELI Score on Tipping Point Voters Needed to Change Election Results
Notable ELI Scores Summary