Newt Shosteck – The Data Times

A Comprehensive Forecast of the Norwegian Parliamentary Election

By Newt Shosteck August 31, 2025

With the nationwide Parliamentary elections in Norway occurring in just over a week, The Data Times has put together an in-depth forecast predicting everything from the nationwide vote share…

How to Solve America’s Two-Party Problem

By Newt Shosteck June 8, 2025

There is a growing demand among America's youth, especially those who identify as Independents, for a new political party in the US. This idea is not new and can…

What Defines an Electoral Landslide?

By Newt Shosteck March 23, 2025

Recently on social media, I've noticed many people try to frame the 2024 presidential election as a landslide. Some people, including Donald Trump himself, also tried claiming a mandate…

The Worst Election Prediction Models of 2024

By Newt Shosteck February 23, 2025

This is the first part of a two-part series ranking election models from worst (15th place) to best (1st place). TDT Data Table used to calculate some of the…

Who Will Win the 2025 Elections?

By Newt Shosteck January 24, 2025

https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/NX7AR/1/ 1/26/2025 A few days ago, I published the first version of the 2025 Virginia Gubernatorial Election Poll Tracker. If you've checked the site within the past 24 hours,…

How to Reclassify Swing States

By Newt Shosteck January 9, 2025

What Is Happening Here? In the 2008 presidential election, the only universally agreed upon swing between the five news organizations used in this sample was Ohio. News sites couldn't…