The Data Times

Data
Forecasts

2020 Election Forecasts

Joseph Biden (D) Vs. Donald Trump (R)

CNalysis (Likelihood)
(D) 389
(R) 149

Race To The Whitehouse
(D) 369
(R) 169

JHK
(D) 351
(R) 187

538
(D) 351
(R) 187

Princeton Election Consortium (Likelihood)
(D) 351
(R) 187

New York Times
(D) 351
(R) 187

The Economist*
(D) 350
(R) 188

Crystal Ball
(D) 321
(R) 217

RealClearPolling
(D) 320
(R) 218

The Primary Model**
(D) 169
(R) 369

* The Economist did not have separate ratings for the congressional districts of Maine and Nebraska in the 2020 election.

** The Primary Model does not release specific electoral college forecasts. This map was created based on shifting the 2020 results far enough to the right to follow The Primary Model’s prediction of Trump winning 362 electoral votes (R+ 16).